A Beginners Guide to Understanding|volatility and variance > 자유게시판

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Understanding Game Variance and Volatility is crucial for any serious gambler or casino enthusiast. These two terms are often used interchangeably, but they refer to different aspects of a game. In this article, we will delve into the world of game risk and reward, and provide you with a comprehensive guide to help you make informed decisions at the table.

First and foremost, let's start with understanding what uncertainty is. Uncertainty is key in games refers to the frequency and size of ups and downs. A game with high uncertainty will pay out large sums of money rarely, while a game with low volatility will pay out smaller sums of money more often. In other words, if you're playing a high-uncertainty game, you might win big sometimes, but you'll also lose big at other times. On the other hand, if you're playing a low-volatility game, you can expect smaller, more consistent wins.

Now, let's move on to variance. Variance, on the other hand refers to the unreliability of a game's outcomes. A game with high variance will produce large swings in your bankroll, whether it's due to a single big win or a series of defeats. This can make it difficult for players to manage their budgets and set realistic targets.

The relationship between volatility and variance is quite straightforward: high-volatility games tend to have higher variance as well. This is because high-volatility games are designed to produce large payouts, which comes with a lot of danger. However, it's essential to remember that uncertainty and unpredictability are not the same thing. A game can have high volatility but low uncertainty, or vice versa.

For example, consider a slot machine with a high volatility and low variance. While the machine may not pay out as frequently, the returns will still be relatively predictable, and you can expect to win around 90% of the time. On the other hand, a high-unpredictable game may pay out infrequently, but when it does, the returns can be transformative.

So, how can you use this knowledge to your advantage? Here are a few tips to keep in mind:

• Be aware of your limitations: If you're playing a high-volatility game, don't expect to win big every time. You should be prepared for the possibility of losing big as well.
  
• Manage your bankroll: This is essential when playing games with high uncertainty. You should set a budget and stick to it, and be prepared to walk away if your pocketbook takes a hit.
  
• Pick carefully: If you're looking for consistent wins, choose games with low uncertainty and low variance. If you're looking for the possibility of winning big, choose games with high uncertainty and high variance.
  
• Pay attention to results: Pay attention to the game's outcomes and adjust your strategy accordingly. If a game is producing large rises and falls, it may be time to switch to a different game.
  
  

In conclusion, understanding game volatility and variance is crucial for any serious gambler or casino enthusiast. By knowing the difference between these two terms and how they interact, you can make informed decisions at the table and set realistic targets. Remember, games with high uncertainty and mega888 variance can be exciting, but they also come with a lot of risk. As with any form of gaming, it's essential to be responsible and manage your budgets wisely.